To avoid new spikes in COVID, Los Angeles needs more vaccinations

The Los Angeles County Public Health Director warned that the pace of COVID-19 vaccinations in Los Angeles County is so slow that there is a risk of a “cycle of repeat increases every few months.”

There was an increase in vaccinations in late July and early August as the effects of the delta wave became apparent, but that boost in weekly vaccinations is starting to fade, according to data from the county’s Department of Public Health.

Director of Public Health Barbara Ferrer said while providing comments while presenting an upcoming health order requesting proof of vaccination for clients in Indoor bars, wineries, breweries, nightclubs and lounges at the county level.

(Los Angeles County Department of Public Health)

In Los Angeles County, 75.7% of residents age 12 and older have received at least one dose of the vaccine, while 66.9% of residents of all ages have received at least one injection and 59.3% were fully vaccinated.

Dr. George Rutherford, an infectious disease epidemiologist at the University of California, San Francisco, has estimated that a community needs to vaccinate about 84% of the population against COVID-19 to reach “herd immunity,” which occurs when enough people have immunity to interrupt ongoing transmission. for the disease. Immunity can be obtained not only through vaccination, but also by surviving infection.

“It will take some large amounts of vaccinate children Rutherford said at a recent campus forum.

fact that delta variable The infection is much more contagious than previous strains which means it would “require more people to be vaccinated” to reach herd immunity, Ferrer recently told the Board of Supervisors.

Although Los Angeles County has reported recent declines in coronavirus cases and hospital admissions per week, the fact that California has endured four sudden spikes makes clear that “there is a cyclical nature to this virus. As long as we have large numbers of unvaccinated people,” Ferrer said. Here in the county, we are at the mercy of the ‘cyclical’ nature of the pandemic.

“We are judging ourselves, in some ways, for another potential surge later in October, November and December, when conditions really favor a recurrence of the COVID-19 virus, if we’re not really diligent now and taking some measures now that reduce the risk of exposure,” she said. If more people are vaccinated, our transmission is much lower.”

USC Modern Model He suggested that if everyone in Los Angeles County had been vaccinated this summer, instead of recording more than 900 deaths between June 1 and September 1, the county would have reported 80 deaths instead. By contrast, if no one had been vaccinated, the model suggested that 13,000 deaths would have occurred at that time.

Ferrer said the data “continues to show us all how important it is to raise our vaccination coverage rates.”

Vaccination provides significant protection against infection, hospitalization, and death. Of the hundreds of people who have been admitted to the Los Angeles County public hospital system since June 15 with a diagnosis primarily related to COVID-19, 93% have not been vaccinated.

But the continued increase has also threatened fully vaccinated people, including those with weakened immune systems who, even if vaccinated, do not produce a strong immune response to a coronavirus infection.

The Los Angeles County Public Hospital System recently reported the first death of a fully vaccinated patient. The patient was 67 years old and was taking medications that suppress the immune system due to a serious medical condition.

“I would also like to ask everyone who is still not immune to realize the role their decision plays in keeping the virus spreading among our communities and putting patients like this at risk,” said Dr. Christina Galle, director of Los Angeles County Health Services.

Health experts have proposed vaccine requirements to enter public places or as a condition of employment to be implemented in order for the United States to weather the worst pandemic the world has seen in a century.

San Francisco And Berkeley Requiring customers 12 or older in restaurants, bars, and indoor gyms to show evidence of COVID-19 vaccination. Contra Costa CountyThe Gulf region, the third most populous region, has ordered the clients of these companies to show either proof of vaccination or a recent negative coronavirus test result. Palm Springs and the neighborhood Cathedral City Recipients 12 years of age and older were required to provide evidence of COVID-19 vaccination or a recent negative coronavirus test to enter indoor restaurants and bars.

West Hollywood On October 11, recipients 18 and older will be required to prove they have received full vaccinations to enter indoor restaurants, bars, clubs, theaters and gyms, as well as personal care establishments, including barbershops, nail salons and tanning services.

New York City required Persons 12 years of age or older to demonstrate that they have received at least one dose of the vaccine to enter indoor restaurants, bars, nightclubs, cafes, gyms, cinemas, museums, sports arenas, convention centers and bowling alleys.

In Hawaii, there are a number of hotels and resorts Started The Associated Press reports that requiring customers to show proof of complete vaccination to enter and they will not allow unvaccinated people to enter, even if they had evidence of a recent negative test. Honolulu And the entire island of Oahu this week began requiring proof of vaccination or a recent negative coronavirus test, taken in the last 48 hours, to enter restaurants, bars, indoor gyms and places of entertainment and recreation.

It would be important to increase the social cost of staying unvaccinated, State Senator Josh Newman (Democrat of Fullerton) said at a recent news conference. Newman recently recounted his conversation with a grocery distribution center manager who struggled to encourage some of his employees to get vaccinated.

Then, to a surprise, a disabled person was vaccinated. Reason? The worker’s wife wanted to go to Hawaii, and the couple had to get a bullet to get into the hotel.

“The level of social cohesion necessary to reach something like herd immunity was a real challenge. So we have to do everything we can to get there,” Neumann said.

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